The US death rate based on confirmed cases is about 1.5 percent, compared to around 10.5 percent in Italy. This death rate figure could fall, as greater testing reveals more people who are positive but asymptomatic.It may also rise if more cities and states find themselves in a similar position to New York, which has seen more than 500 deaths and is experiencing a drastic shortage of hospital beds, personal protective equipment and ventilators.
“We’re still seeing a rising number of cases, a rising number of hospitalizations, rising number of intensive care unit admission, a rising number of patients with the mechanical ventilators,” Thomas Tsai, a professor of health policy at Harvard told AFP. “And unfortunately, the death rate is likely going to follow that pattern. It’s just that it’s going to be days or weeks behind.”